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REAL AND PRESENT DANGER
From My Perspective - - -
Question: Does the UNFAMILIAR equal the IMPROBABLE? FOX NEWS has developed a new interactive Website – www.foxnation.com – where the public can respond to different topics and news events. On that Webpage today, Newt Gingrich, former House Speaker and now a FOX News Contributor, has written: America at Risk: Two Novels President Obama Should Read. He writes, “Alex Berenson and William R. Forstchen have written two bold new novels which warn us that America is threatened by new weapons and new threats which seem unthinkable to our national leadership. Berenson’s THE SILENT MAN and Forstchen’s ONE SECOND AFTER describe truly catastrophic threats to America. These are not threats of suicide bombers, snipers, or even airplanes hitting buildings and killing thousands. We have two new novels which warn us of the catastrophic dangers which face America…Before you dismiss such writing as overblown or exaggerated, remember all the people who wondered after 9/11 why no one had thought of it — or even those who wondered after Pearl Harbor why we were taken by surprise. These are threats that could destroy American freedom as we have known it and possibly even destroy America as an organized productive civilization. Berenson writes about an Islamist suicide bombing group trying to use a nuclear weapon to destroy the Capitol during a State of the Union speech. Forstchen writes about an Electromagnetic Pulse attack which could come today from North Korea, Pakistan, Iran, Russia or China.” The questions are (a) What would an enemy use? And (b) How would they be able to make it happen?
“Berenson demonstrates convincingly that a crude Hiroshima-level atomic bomb is potentially attainable by terrorists for detonation within the United States. This would create an impossible security problem for a State of the Union scenario. Recent urban nuclear attack simulations run by William Bell and Cham Dallas and published in the International Journal of Health Geographics show thermal and fallout impacts from surface detonations of “primitive” 20 kiloton atomic bombs with horrific fatality plumes and mass casualties for urban cities. Forstchen accurately captures the horrendous implications of an electromagnetic pulse attack. EMP can be the product of a relatively low yield nuclear weapon if it is designed correctly. EMP effects have been known for at least 50 years. High altitude tests in the Johnston Atoll in 1962 resulted in electrical disruptions and equipment failures in Honolulu nearly a thousand miles away. A serious EMP attack would wipe out most-if-not-all electricity generation-&-transmission capabilities within its effective range (which could extend across the North American continent) and could incapacitate all electricity using-equipments including automobiles, radios and TVs, refrigerators, etc…most all American equipment is…very vulnerable…As Nobelist Tom Schelling memorably remarked long ago: There is a tendency in our planning to confuse the unfamiliar with the improbable. The contingency we have not considered looks strange; what looks strange is thought improbable; what is improbable need not be taken seriously.”
Consider these things with me - - - In Matthew 24:37-44, Jesus Christ says: “For as were the days of Noah, so will be the coming of the Son of Man…” In that day, something “unfamiliar” was about to occur – prolonged and heavy rainfall, and unprecedented flooding. Since it was “unfamiliar”, it became easy for the people of that day to consider it as “improbable”! This allowed them to scoff, ridicule, demean and disbelieve the unfamiliar. However, they did so to their peril. Jesus uses that event to make the following application: “For as in those days before the flood they were eating and drinking, marrying and giving in marriage, until the day when Noah entered the ark, and they were unaware until the flood came and swept them all away, so will be the coming of the Son of Man…” The people in Noah’s day experienced both the unfamiliar and the improbable in a drastic way. Jesus goes on to say: “Therefore, stay awake, for you do not know on what day your Lord is coming…you must be ready, for the Son of Man is coming at an hour you do not expect…” Do you want to be among those who choose to ignore the warnings and indications of real and present dangers? Will you risk the looming peril by relegating it to the unfamiliar and the improbable? When ways and means of escape are available, is it wise to ignore, disregard and refuse to accept them? Don’t wait until it is too late!
Question: Does the UNFAMILIAR equal the IMPROBABLE? FOX NEWS has developed a new interactive Website – www.foxnation.com – where the public can respond to different topics and news events. On that Webpage today, Newt Gingrich, former House Speaker and now a FOX News Contributor, has written: America at Risk: Two Novels President Obama Should Read. He writes, “Alex Berenson and William R. Forstchen have written two bold new novels which warn us that America is threatened by new weapons and new threats which seem unthinkable to our national leadership. Berenson’s THE SILENT MAN and Forstchen’s ONE SECOND AFTER describe truly catastrophic threats to America. These are not threats of suicide bombers, snipers, or even airplanes hitting buildings and killing thousands. We have two new novels which warn us of the catastrophic dangers which face America…Before you dismiss such writing as overblown or exaggerated, remember all the people who wondered after 9/11 why no one had thought of it — or even those who wondered after Pearl Harbor why we were taken by surprise. These are threats that could destroy American freedom as we have known it and possibly even destroy America as an organized productive civilization. Berenson writes about an Islamist suicide bombing group trying to use a nuclear weapon to destroy the Capitol during a State of the Union speech. Forstchen writes about an Electromagnetic Pulse attack which could come today from North Korea, Pakistan, Iran, Russia or China.” The questions are (a) What would an enemy use? And (b) How would they be able to make it happen?
“Berenson demonstrates convincingly that a crude Hiroshima-level atomic bomb is potentially attainable by terrorists for detonation within the United States. This would create an impossible security problem for a State of the Union scenario. Recent urban nuclear attack simulations run by William Bell and Cham Dallas and published in the International Journal of Health Geographics show thermal and fallout impacts from surface detonations of “primitive” 20 kiloton atomic bombs with horrific fatality plumes and mass casualties for urban cities. Forstchen accurately captures the horrendous implications of an electromagnetic pulse attack. EMP can be the product of a relatively low yield nuclear weapon if it is designed correctly. EMP effects have been known for at least 50 years. High altitude tests in the Johnston Atoll in 1962 resulted in electrical disruptions and equipment failures in Honolulu nearly a thousand miles away. A serious EMP attack would wipe out most-if-not-all electricity generation-&-transmission capabilities within its effective range (which could extend across the North American continent) and could incapacitate all electricity using-equipments including automobiles, radios and TVs, refrigerators, etc…most all American equipment is…very vulnerable…As Nobelist Tom Schelling memorably remarked long ago: There is a tendency in our planning to confuse the unfamiliar with the improbable. The contingency we have not considered looks strange; what looks strange is thought improbable; what is improbable need not be taken seriously.”
Consider these things with me - - - In Matthew 24:37-44, Jesus Christ says: “For as were the days of Noah, so will be the coming of the Son of Man…” In that day, something “unfamiliar” was about to occur – prolonged and heavy rainfall, and unprecedented flooding. Since it was “unfamiliar”, it became easy for the people of that day to consider it as “improbable”! This allowed them to scoff, ridicule, demean and disbelieve the unfamiliar. However, they did so to their peril. Jesus uses that event to make the following application: “For as in those days before the flood they were eating and drinking, marrying and giving in marriage, until the day when Noah entered the ark, and they were unaware until the flood came and swept them all away, so will be the coming of the Son of Man…” The people in Noah’s day experienced both the unfamiliar and the improbable in a drastic way. Jesus goes on to say: “Therefore, stay awake, for you do not know on what day your Lord is coming…you must be ready, for the Son of Man is coming at an hour you do not expect…” Do you want to be among those who choose to ignore the warnings and indications of real and present dangers? Will you risk the looming peril by relegating it to the unfamiliar and the improbable? When ways and means of escape are available, is it wise to ignore, disregard and refuse to accept them? Don’t wait until it is too late!
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